Kris Bubic’s stellar road form (1.88 ERA) and his strong 1.12 WHIP with 101 strikeouts set the tone in this matchup. Arizona's lineup, while potent this season, has produced a modest 3.7 runs per nine at Chase Field specifically against southpaws—exactly the type Bubic represents. On the other side, Eduardo Rodríguez has rebounded from a shaky start, posting a 1.98 ERA across his last five outings—including a strong June where he allowed just 6 earned in roughly 16.1 innings—though his season ERA still sits above 5. Meanwhile, Kansas City’s offense has struggled badly on the road, averaging only 3.7 runs per nine—dropping to a scant 3.1 vs lefties—and just 2.8 runs per game over its last 10 games. With both starters locked in and offenses underperforming—particularly on the road or vs lefties—the UNDER 8.5 looks like a savvy play.