The UNDER 11.5 is a strong lean here — Colorado averages just around 4.09 runs per game at home this season, and Chicago’s road offense is historically dreadful, managing just 2.91 runs per game. Last night against Senzatela — with a bloated 6.75 home ERA — the Sox could barely scrape together three runs. Jonathan Cannon, despite a 5.16 road ERA, has kept opponents to three runs or fewer in the majority of his outings, and the Rockies simply don't have the firepower to exploit him. On the flip side, German Márquez checks in with a solid 4.32 ERA at Coors and is on a heater—just a 1.65 ERA in his last three home starts and a 2.77 ERA across two career tilts with the White Sox. With both offenses sputtering and neither pitcher giving up much at home, expect a muted scoring affair that comfortably stays below 11.5 runs.