LA CHARGERS -3
(NFL) Chargers (LAC) vs. Texans (HOU),
Point Spread: -3.00 | 100.00 Chargers (LAC) (Away)
Result: Loss
Betting Trends: LA is 3-0 SU & ATS and Houston is 0-4 SU & ATS on a short week this season. LA QB Justin Herbert is 7-1 ATS as a road favorite.

If you can grab the 2.5-point spread without taking on much extra juice go for it, but the bet will cash at -3, too. I like Houston's defense, but Herbert and LA have played well enough against top defenses to back them on the road Saturday. The Texans' offensive line is a major concern (22nd in pass-block win rate and 19th PFF pass-block grade and 31st in run-block win rate and 27th in PFF run-block grade) and with two top receivers out, CJ Stroud has not played well (6.6 YPA and the fourth-worst adjusted EPA per play mark since Week 7). The Texans' o-line has given up the third-most sacks (54) and has paved the way for Joe Mixon to run for just 3.2 YPC since their Week 14 bye. Facing Los Angeles' 7th-ranked pass defense, I don't know how Houston's offense keeps them in this game.

The Chargers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games and averaged 27.2 points in their last five wins. During that 8-2 run, Herbert averaged 8.0 YPA and a 66.2 CMP%. With a top-flight QB and Jim Harbaugh on the sidelines, Los Angeles will win and cover easily in Houston on Saturday.