The Beach are too slow-tempo for the over to cash. They rank 335th in schedule-adjusted tempo, and the Tritons aren't much higher-tempo (252nd). While I anticipate a spread cover by the home team, UCSD may take its foot off the pedal in this one with just two games left and a clear path to the conference championship. On the other end of the court, UC San Diego will dominate. The Tritons rank 15th in opponent FT attempt rate and force their opponents into too many threes (44th in average opponent shooting proximity). They come into this matchup ranked 13th nationally in defensive momentum, per Haslametrics. UCSD rarely gives up second-chance buckets (23rd in quick points allowed off offensive rebounds), as well.