Not many people are giving the Bulldogs a chance to win this game, but after snapping a lengthy losing streak last game, they aren't afraid of the Spartans. It took double OT for SJSU to beat Fresno 94-91 in the first matchup this season, and I bet the Dawgs get their revenge on Saturday.

Fresno bullied the Spartans in the paint in that game, scoring 56 points. They also attempted 25 free throws, hitting 20. That's unsurprising, as the Bulldogs rank 64th nationally in near-proximity attempt rate, and SJSU ranks 297th in average opponent NP attempt rate and 266th in average opponent NP%. (Near-proximity shots being layups, tip-ins and dunks).

San Jose State has lost six of its last seven, including two straight. It lost by 27 in its last game and has no business laying six points in this one. I don't believe we need to take the points, though, and see significant value in a wager on Fresno State to win straight-up at +215 or better odds!