PREMIUM
Big Ten Friday Blowout
(NCAAF) Huskies (WAS) vs. Scarlet Knights (RUT),
Point Spread: 2.50 | -115.00 Huskies (WAS) (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 2.50 | -115.00 Huskies (WAS) (Away)
Result: Loss
#107 ASA PLAY ON Washington +2.5 over Rutgers, Friday at 8 PM ET - The Huskies have played the tougher schedule to date and have the much better overall stats. After 4 games, UW is 12th nationally in YPG and YPP margin outgaining their opponents by +220 YPG and by +3.3 YPP. Compare that to Rutgers, who has played the much weaker schedule, with the Knights sitting at +125 YPG and +1.5 YPP. Washington played their first Big 10 game last weekend and dominated Northwestern holding the Cats to 112 total yards on just 2.1 YPP in that 24-5 win. Their lone loss came vs an undefeated Washington State team 24-19 in a game the Huskies outgained the Cougars 452 to 381 and were stopped at the 1-yard line which ended the game. Rutgers is 3-0 but they’ve played a cupcake schedule – ranked 193rd strength of schedule by Sagarin who includes FCS teams – thus the Scarlet Knights slate this year is easier than a good number of FCS teams. They opened the season with a win over FCS Howard and then took out Akron who is rated as the 4th worst FBS team per Sagarin. Last week Rutgers upset Va Tech on the road 26-23. However, the Hokies won the stat sheet averaging 5.9 YPP to 5.5 for Rutgers. The problem was, VT had 3 turnovers which led to Rutgers running 77 offensive snaps to just 54 for the Hokies. Even with that, the Knights couldn’t pull away and won on a late FG with under 2:00 minutes remaining. Now they come home a bit overvalued with their 3-0 record. The better team is getting points here (better YPP on both sides of the ball), if they can cope with the long travel spot, we think Washington will win this game outright.