ASA EARLY CFB 3-PACK w/Big 12 GOM
(NCAAF) Cowboys (OKS) vs. Wildcats (KST),
Point Spread: -5.00 | -110.00 Wildcats (KST) (Home)
Result: Win
#152 ASA TOP PLAY ON Kansas State -5 over Oklahoma State, Saturday at 12 PM ET - Both teams off losses last week but OSU’s was deceivingly close while KSU was the opposite. Kansas State lost 38-9 as 7 point favorites at BYU (we were on the Cougars in that one). Believe it or not, the Cats outgained BYU by +125 yards and outrushed them 228 to 92. Three turnovers were a killer for KSU in that game. The Wildcats led 6-0 with just over 2:00 minutes remaining in the first half. 4 minutes into the 2nd half (so a 6 minute span) BYU led 31-6 and had TD drives of 5, 29, 27 and 6 yards during that 6 minute span basically putting the game out of reach. Now we get an angry Kansas State team at home that should dominate in the trenches. They are averaging 240 yards on the ground on 6.5 YPC facing an Oklahoma State defense that ranks outside the top 100 at stopping the run. KSU yards per carry differential (YPC offense minus YPC they allow on defense) is +3.7. OSU’s YPC differential is -1.3 and they rank outside the top 100 both rushing on offense and stopping the run on defense as we mentioned above. OSU looked like they gave Utah a battle last week losing 22-19. Fact is the Cowboys were down 22-3 at home in that game with less than 6 minutes remaining. They were outgained 457 to 285 and outrushed 250 to 48. On top of that, Utah’s starting QB Rising didn’t play and the Utes started a freshman at QB and still dominated. These two both have 3-1 record and have played a very similar strength of schedule, yet KSU has a YPP differential of +1.3 while OSU is -0.2. Last time OSU visited Manhattan KS 2 years ago, they left with a 48-0 loss. Last year the Wildcats were favored by 11.5 AT Oklahoma State and lost in a upset. This year at home they are laying just -5 and we look for a dominating with for the home team.