#292 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Detroit Lions -3.5 over Seattle Seahawks, Monday at 8:15 PM ET - Seattle comes into this game with a 3-0 record be we feel they are vastly overvalued early in the season. They’ve played 3 cupcake games thus far and now are finally on the road vs a legit playoff type team. They’ve played Denver with a rookie QB making his first ever start, @ New England (won in OT), and then vs Miami with Skylar Thompson at QB. Their overall numbers, especially on defense, are not as good as they may seem. Seattle ranks #1 vs the pass but again they’ve faced Bo Nix, Jacoby Brissett and Skylar Thompson. Now they face Jared Goff at home where he has won 13 of his last 16 games and his home stats have been fantastic (70% completion rate last year with 19 TD’s). In their only road game, Seattle struggled to slow down New England’s running game (185 yards on 5.1 YPC) and now they face a Detroit rushing attack that rates 4th in the NFL at 163 YPG. Seattle is also really banged up on defense with potentially 4 starters out for this game and a few more in the 2 deep will have to sit as well. One of Goff’s rare home losses was last year vs this Seattle team. Detroit outplayed the Hawks averaging more YPP, YPC, and yards per pass attempts but lost in OT. The Lions turned the ball over 3 times in that OT loss (0 for Seattle) including a pick 6 which was the difference in the game. A little extra motivation for Detroit in this one. The line value is solid as Detroit was favored by 5 here last year, they were favored over playoff team Tampa Bay by 7.5 just a few weeks ago and last week on the road they were -3 @ Arizona. This is a big home game for the Lions who are 2-1 and take the road for 4 of their next 5 games. They lead the NFL in YPG margin at +106 and if they avoid the turnover bug, we like them to win this game by at least a TD.