#915/916 ASA PLAY ON 10* OVER 7.5 Runs – Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros, Wednesday at 2:32 PM ET - The Astros and Tigers hit a little better than we expected yesterday but the under was still a solid winner for us. We like how that sets us up perfectly to come back with the over here in Game 2! Note that the Tigers hit decently and scored 3 runs in yesterday's game. As for the Astros, they started hitting well once Skubal was out and they got to the Detroit bullpen a little bit. The good news for them here is that this is a bullpen game for Detroit! The Tigers are starting Tyler Holton most likely but he is slated to go just 2 innings as an opener and then the rest of the Detroit pen gets involved again. As for Astros starter Hunter Brown, he is only 9-14 with a 4.82 ERA in his home outings the past two seasons. He also has gone 2-4 with a 5.13 ERA in his day game outings this season. The last 9 times the Astros were off a loss in which they scored 4 or less runs they have gone 7-2 and scored an average of 5.4 runs per game. We don't trust Brown here so we are not betting Houston but we do like those scoring stats and confidently expect the Astros to bounce back at the plate. The thing is the Tigers have momentum off the 3-1 win and could have scored more but left 11 men on base yesterday. Look for Detroit (10 hits yesterday) to have plenty of confidence at the plate and we expect both teams get to at least 4 runs in this one given all of the above in what is likely a back and forth game. Our computer math model projecting 9 to 10 runs as the highest probability here and even if it gets to just 8 that is still a winning ticket for us. We are going with the Over in this one.