#367 ASA PLAY ON Syracuse +6.5 over UNLV, Friday at 9 PM ET - We’re getting some pretty good line value with the Orange in this game. Our power ratings have UNLV favored by a FG here. To put this number in perspective, last week the Rebels played host to Fresno State and they were favored by -2.5 to -3 range. We have Cuse favored by a full TD over Fresno on a neutral field in our ratings. Others we respect are in the same range. This line has moved too much based on UNLV’s 59-14 win over Fresno. While impressive, the fact is Fresno had 4 turnovers (0 for UNLV) which led to a number of very good offensive situations for the Rebels who scored TD’s on drives of 25 yards, 29 yards, a 90 yard punt return, and blocked punt return. UNLV played with their back up QB Williams (transfer from Campbell) after their starter quit the team early in the week because of an NIL dispute. Williams looked very good, but now Cuse has film on him and teams often get that one game, rally the troops, boost in this type of situation. UNLV has faced one Power 4 opponent this year, Kansas, and while they won by a FG, the Rebs were dominated in the stats 6 YPP to 4.1 YPP, 6.4 yards per pass attempt to 4.8, and 5.7 YPC to 3.9. That’s a Kansas team that is now 1-4 and the Jayhawks were favored by 9 in that game. Now we have UNLV laying nearly a full TD in this one. Syracuse rolled over Holy Cross and their lone loss was a 2 point setback vs Stanford in a game they outgained the Cardinal. The Orange are one of the better passing teams in the nation (#3 averaging 372 passing YPG) and UNLV has struggled vs the pass (60th) despite only playing one QB who is a solid passing threat. That was last week vs Fresno’s Mikey Keene who threw for over 300 yards on 66% completion rate. We expect Syracuse QB McCord (former Ohio State starter) to have a big day and keep the Orange in this one all the way. Take the points.