#392 ASA TOP PLAY ON Washington -120 ON THE MONEY LINE over Michigan, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET - We’re playing Washington ON THE MONEY LINE here to just win the game straight up. Michigan is ranked in the top 10 (undeservedly so) and they are an underdog here vs a team that has a 3-2 record and is unranked? Hmmm? We feel pretty strongly that despite their record, Washington is the better team in this match up. The Huskies lost last week @ Rutgers (we were on UW) despite completely dominating the game outgaining the Knights 521 to 299 (7.9 YPP to 4.4 YPP). In both of their losses vs Rutgers and Washington State, the Huskies dominated the stat sheet and in fact they’ve outgained every opponent this season. Their YPG margin is +220 and they have a +3.1 YPP differential. They rank in the top 20 nationally in both total offense and total defense. Simply not the numbers of a 2 loss team. If UW was undefeated entering this game, which they probably should be, we are looking at a higher number. Michigan is 4-1 this season but they are getting OUTGAINED by 7 YPG. They barely held on at home last week 27-24 vs a pretty average Minnesota team but the Wolverines were outgained by 55 yards in that win. The Wolverines have struggled to beat teams at home this year and now they take the road for the first time (long travel). They have almost zero passing game averaging only 115 YPG through the air (130th) and it’s actually gotten worse since Orgi took over at QB. In his 2 starts vs USC and Minnesota, Orgi has a total of 118 yards passing. This team is very one dimensional and they are facing a defense that ranks 8th nationally allowing only 4.1 YPP. Not a good recipe for offensive success. UW has a massive edge on offense (20th in total offense to 116th for Michigan) and at QB with Will Rogers who has almost 14,000 careers passing yards and 104 TD’s. Different head coaches and many new players for each team, however we still anticipate a little extra motivation for Washington after losing to Michigan in last year’s National Championship game. The Huskies take this one at home.