#457 ASA PLAY ON Indianapolis Colts +3 over Jacksonville Jaguars, Sunday at 1 PM ET - Not sure why Jacksonville is favored by a full FG here (as of this writing on Friday). They are the only winless team in the NFL and they’ve only won 1 of their last 9 games dating back to last season. Jags QB Lawrence has been disappointing to say the least losing his last 9 times a starting QB and he ranks 23rd in the NFL this year in passing yards and QBR. With their 0-4 record to start the season, Jacksonville’s chance of making the playoffs are basically nil and you have to wonder what their mindset is moving forward. They have very little home field advantage with a 3-6 SU record since the start of last season. The Jags are also just 16-32 as a home favorite dating back to the start of the 2008 season. The Colts are 2-2 after topping previously undefeated Pittsburgh last week but their stats say they are better than that. Their YPP differential is +0.7 which is the 8th best mark in the NFL (Jags are -1.0 YPP). Looks like Indy will start Joe Flacco at QB (if not we’re good with Richardson under center as well) and we feel he might be a one game upgrade over Anthony Richardson. We often see a one game surge from a team that loses their starting QB and Flacco came in last week after Richardson was injured vs a very good Pittsburgh defense and threw for 168 yards and 2 TDs. We like Indy to keep this close and we’ll take the FG.