#263 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Jacksonville Jaguars +1 over Chicago Bears, Sunday at 9:30 AM ET - This game is being played at Tottenham Stadium on London. The Jags are more than familiar with playing in London as they’ve already been their 11 times (6-5 SU record). In fact, they face Chicago on Sunday, then stay in London to play New England next week as well. We like the been there, done that, situation for Jacksonville vs a young Chicago team making their first trip overseas since 2019. The Bears are 3-2 on the season but a bit of a fraud in our opinion. Their wins have come vs Tennessee, LA Rams, and Carolina who have a combined record of 3-11 and Chicago was outgained in 2 of those wins. As you might expect based on those wins, the Bears have played one of the easiest strength of schedules to date (30th) yet they are still getting outgained by 0.6 YPP (3rd worst in the NFL). They’ve only outgained 1 opponent on a YPP basis this season and that was Carolina rates as one of the worst few teams in the NFL. Jacksonville was considered by many a playoff caliber team entering the season. They have disappointed with a 1-4 record, however they have a better YPP margin than the Bears and have played the much more difficult schedule thus far. Three of their four losses have coming by 5 points or less and they have some momentum heading overseas after beating the Colts last Sunday. The offense, which ranks 11th in YPP, looked better than it has all season in that win putting up 37 points on nearly 500 yards. Head coach Doug Pederson took over play calling duties for that one and it showed on the field. The Bears offense is averaging only 287 YPG and 4.4 YPP which is 29th in the league. The Jags should control the trenches here with their +0.9 YPC margin vs Chicago’s -0.7 YPC margin. QB Trevor Lawrence finally had a breakout game last Sunday with 370 yards passing giving him some much needed confidence heading into this one. Our power ratings have Jacksonville as a small favorite here so we’ll grab the points with the Jags.