ASA Free Play Saturday CFB
(NCAAF) Terrapins (MAR) vs. Golden Gophers (MIN),
Point Spread: 5.50 | -110.00 Terrapins (MAR) (Away)
Result: Loss
#157 ASA FREE PLAY ON Maryland +5.5 over Minnesota, Saturday at 3:30PM ET - The Gophers are 5-1-1 ATS this season and the oddsmakers have adjusted this line higher than it should be, hence the value with the Terps. These two teams have similar strengths of schedule and average point differentials. Maryland rates better offensively in terms of Yards Per Play at 5.4 compared to 4.9 for the Gophs. Defensively the Gophers have the advantage allowing just 4.5YPP versus the Terps who allow 5.5YPP. Two weeks ago, Maryland suffered an embarrassing loss to Northwestern at home, then bounced back with a confidence building win last week against USC. The Terrapins found their offense with QB Edwards throwing for 373 yards with 2 TD’s. Minnesota has won two straight games over USC 24-17 and UCLA 21-17, but defensively allowed 5.4 Yards Per Play in those two games, while averaging 4.9YPP. Minnesota is averaging just 25PPG which ranks 89th in college football and has an average +/- of +2.7PPG. Maryland has an offense capable of scoring at 29.4PPG and their average plus/minus is only slightly lower than Minnesota’s at +2.3PPG. Minnesota may win this game but it’s going to be close.