#267/268 ASA PLAY ON Over 44.5 Points – Washington Commanders vs Pittsburgh Steelers at 1 PM ET - Light showers expected in DC on Sunday but light winds so scoring shouldn’t be affected. Pitt’s offense has been much better since Russell Wilson took over at QB. In his 2 games under center the Steelers put up 6.2 YPP vs Jets and 6.8 YPP vs Giants. They are averaging 31.5 PPG with Wilson compared to 20.5 PPG when Fields was the starter. They should have plenty of success vs a Washington defense that ranks 24th in YPP allowed and struggles to stop the run (29th in rush defense & 31st in YPC allowed). That plays right into Pittsburgh’s hands as they run the ball well which will open up the play action for Wilson who is averaging 9.5 yards per pass attempt. Washington’s offense is rolling but has blown a lot of redzone opportunities the last few weeks in games they should have scored much more than they did. They averaged 6.7 YPP and 6.0 YPP the last 2 and scored 45 points in those 2 games. The total yardage they gained in those 2 games (over 800 yards) would normally produce 56 points for an average NFL yards per point team. They face a Pittsburgh offense that has solid numbers (13th in YPP allowed) but those numbers look like they could be misleading. That’s because they haven’t played an offense since week 1 that currently ranked in the top 15 in YPP and the average of the offenses they’ve faced rank 21st in YPP. Now they face a Commander offense that ranks 3rd in the NFL putting up 6.4 YPP. The Commanders have scored on a league-high 60.7% of their drives. The next closest team (Baltimore) is at 51.0%. The Steelers have scored on 45.9% of their possessions, which is sixth in the league. Everything here points to a high scoring game and this total is set too low. Over is the call.