#112 ASA PLAY ON Cleveland Browns +3.5 over Pittsburgh Steelers, Thursday at 8:15 PM ET - We’re catching Cleveland coming off an embarrassing road performance @ New Orleans, a game they were actually favored and lost 35-14. That was a bit misleading as the game was tied 14-14 in the 4th quarter. Despite only scoring 2 TD’s the offensive numbers for the Browns were solid putting up 443 yards on over 6.0 YPP in that loss. They had opportunities missing 2 FG’s and getting shut out on downs twice inside New Orleans territory. The defense was embarrassed as the entered last weekend allowing just 328 YPG but gave up 473 yards to New Orleans. We look for that unit to bounce back strong at home vs their arch rival. Pittsburgh is in a rough spot coming off a hard fought 18-16 home win over Baltimore pushing the Steelers into 1st place in the AFC North. They were extremely fortunate in that game as Pitt was outgained by a full 2.0 YPP (6.1 YPP for Baltimore to 4.1 for Pitt) but benefitted from 3 Raven turnovers and 2 missed FG’s. Off that huge win we would expect a bit of a letdown going on the road on a short week. The Steelers, in fact, have a 7-14 ATS record under Tomlin the game after beating the Ravens. On top of that, AFC North underdogs have been money in the bank with a 26-16 ATS record since 2021. Cleveland showed us just a few weeks ago that can get it done at home as a division dog beating Baltimore 29-24 and outgaining the Ravens as well so it was no fluke. Believe it or not, Pittsburgh has never won a division road game on Thursday night (short week) going 0-7 SU in that role. The weather looks dicey on Thursday night with rain/snow mix and strong winds. That should lead to a lower scoring game making the points (especially above 3) more valuable. The host has won and covered 5 straight in this rivalry and Pittsburgh has only won once in their last six trips to Cleveland. This is just a bad spot for Pittsburgh and Cleveland would like nothing more than to knock off their rival at home tonight.