ASA PLAY ON Under 147.5 Points – Wisconsin vs Michigan State, Sunday at 1:30 PM ET - MSU has been an Under machine with 19 Unders in their 28 games so far this season and they are 6-2 to the Under at home in Big 10 play. They have the top defense in the Big 10 in defensive efficiency, eFG% allowed, and 3 point FG% allowed. Sparty is allowing just 66 PPG in league play (#1 in the conference) and they allow that same number at home for the entire season. Sparty has been able to slow down some very high level offenses this season limiting Illinois to 65, Purdue to 66, Michigan to 62, and Maryland to 55, all top 5 Big 10 offenses (efficiency). MSU is one of the slower paced teams in the conference (14th in adjusted tempo) and while Wisconsin is playing faster this year, they still rank just 11th in the Big 10 in adjusted tempo. The Badger defense struggled at times early in the season, but they’ve really played well over the last month and half or so vaulting all the way up to 3rd in the conference in defensive efficiency and 4th in defensive scoring allowed. Since late January the Wisconsin defense is rated in the top 25 in efficiency per Bart Torvik. They’ve held 10 of their last 14 opponents to less than 70 points. This game has huge implications in the race for the Big 10 Title with MSU in 1st place and Wisconsin in 3rd. We think defense rules the day in this one. These 2 have only reached 150 points twice in their last 10 meetings and the average total points scored in those match ups is just 136. Take the Under.