On Sunday the NFL Top play is on.....Hold your nose. Jacksonville. Game 413 at 4:25 eastern. By game time the Jaguars should be getting upwards of 20 points, which is perfect as teams laying 20 or more have NOT Covered the spread, not even once the last 34 years dating back through 1979. Another solid system, an exclusive one we use whenever it applies dates to 1977 and plays on week 3 road dogs getting more than 12 points if they are 0-2. These teams are 17-2 ats. These teams maybe ugly but they get the job done, most teams in this range sitting at 0-2 give it all they have desperately trying to avoid going 0-3. Most times they lost, but this situation have become a classic win and no cover for the home team. Seattle is off a Big emotional win over San Francisco and gave it their all. Its only natural that this be a flat spot. They could win 21-3 and not cover in this game. Seattle is also 0-9 ats after The Niners and 3-14 ats home off a win vs an opponent off a road game. Coach Carrroll has also shown he lets up as he is 2-8 ats off back to back wins vs losing teams Both teams have solid defenses and the Jags will stay in the game because they wont give up a ton of points. I expect they will play better on offense as they cant be happy with the Demonstrator pleading with management to sign Tebow. Henne will most likely be back their again for an injured B. Gabbert. Henne should benefit form playing last week and they should play more cohesively. Jacksonville is a perfect 9-0 ats as a dog of 7 or more if they allowed 4 or more sacks. We will hold our noses and take Jacksonville today.