On Wednesday the N.L.D.S Game 5 totals system as seen below is on the under in the Pittsburgh at St. Louis game. Rotation numbers 951/952 at 8:05 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system and has a pair of Perfect Angles. For the System parameters we note that home favorites like the Cardinals have played under 10 of 12 times off a road win while scoring 2 or less runs, vs an opponent like the Pirates that comes in off a home loss and scored 2 or less runs in the loss. If the total in these games is 9 or less the system is gets down to 9 of 10 to the under. If we insist that the home teams road win was as a favorite the system goes Perfect. The Cardinals have pled Under EVERY TIME Since 2004 at home off a road win where they scored 2 or less runs. The Pirates have stayed under the last 4 times on the road after getting 2 or less hits at home. This game is VERY RARE in the database as both teams had 4 or less hits. In fact since at least 2004 there has not been one game where a home team like the Cardinals were off a road game with 4 or less hits and are playing a road team that had 2 or less hits at home. So this game sets a first time precedent for the database. The Cards have Ace Adam Wainwright going and he has allowed just 4 runs in 21 home innings vs the Pirates including a 7 inning 1 run gem in game one. Wainwright has a superb 2.46 home era this year. G. Cole for the Pirates has a 2.28 road era and has stayed under in 6 of his 8 road starts and was solid here in this series allowing 1 run in 6 innings with just 2 hits allowed. Based on the system, indicators and Pitching we will recommend the under.


OU: 2-10-1

Date Link Day Site Team Starter Opp Starter Final SUm W/L OUm O/U Hits Errors BL Line Total Innings
May 06, 2005 box Fri home Red Sox Matt Clement - R Mariners Jamie Moyer - L 7-2 5 W -0.5 U 10-7 1-0 7-0 -160 9.5 9
Jun 28, 2005 box Tue home Cubs Carlos Zambrano - R Brewers Doug Davis - L 2-0 2 W -6.5 U 4-3 1-1 2-0 -165 8.5 9
Oct 07, 2006 box Sat home Cardinals Jeff Suppan - R Padres Chris Young - R 1-3 -2 L -4.5 U 5-10 2-0 0-3 -110 8.5 9
Apr 09, 2007 box Mon home Athletics Rich Harden - R White Sox Jose Contreras - R 1-4 -3 L -3.5 U 5-9 0-0 1-3 -170 8.5 9
May 15, 2007 box Tue home Rays James Shields - R Rangers Brandon McCarthy - R 4-3 1 W -2.0 U 12-7 1-1 2-1 -150 9.0 10
Jun 30, 2008 box Mon home Angels Jon Garland - R Athletics Greg Smith - ? 1-6 -5 L -1.0 U 4-13 2-0 0-5 -130 8.0 9
Aug 19, 2008 box Tue home Phillies Joe Blanton - R Nationals Jason Bergmann - R 5-4 1 W 0.0 P 7-11 0-1 1-3 -220 9.0 9
Jun 01, 2009 box Mon home Astros Roy Oswalt - R Rockies Aaron Cook - R 4-1 3 W -3.5 U 10-8 0-0 2-0 -130 8.5 9
Apr 29, 2011 box Fri home Athletics Trevor Cahill - R Rangers CJ Wilson - L 3-1 2 W -3.0 U 8-11 0-3 3-0 -110 7.0 9
Aug 23, 2011 box Tue home Blue Jays Brandon Morrow - R Royals Bruce Chen - L 4-6 -2 L 1.5 O 6-16 1-0 0-6 -185 8.5 9
Oct 22, 2011 box Sat home Rangers Matt Harrison - L Cardinals Kyle Lohse - R 7-16 -9 L 13.5 O 13-15 3-0 0-9 -185 9.5 9
May 29, 2013 box Wed home Rockies Tyler Chatwood - R Astros Erik Bedard - L 3-6 -3 L -1.0 U 9-10 0-0 1-4 -215 10.0 9
Jul 30, 2013 box Tue home Rays Roberto Hernandez - R Diamondbacks Ian Kennedy - R 5-2 3 W -1.0 U 10-5 0-0 5-0 -163 8.0 9
Oct 09, 2013 Wed home Cardinals Adam Wainwright - R Pirates Gerrit Cole - R -152 6.5