The Late Afternoon AFC Total is on the Over in the Broncos at Patriots game. Rotation numbers 467/468 at 4:25 eastern. Denver is 5/5 over vs AFC East teams and 19 of 21 vs .667 or better teams. The Pats are 7/8 home vs .667 or better conference teams and 5/5 in game 9 of the season. They are 9/9 home if total is 49.5 or more and 9/9 vs a team that completes 64% or more of their passes.. All teams like Denver off a Thursday home win have played over 20 of the last 21 times if that win went over the total.. Teams who scored 31 or more in 4+ games are 22 of 27 to the over. Team in the first of 3+ road games that are -7 or less with a total that is more than 44 are 100% over. The Pats and teams playing in their 3rd straight homer are 11-0 over. Teams that were favored by 3 or more and won by 4 or more touchdowns are also a 100% to the over. Non division home dogs are 7-0 over if they are getting 3 or more and have a bye week up. Both teams have respectable defenses but this game has the look and feel of the Sunday night game last week with Packers and Saints where the offenses will dictate the pace of the game. These two will get their points. Only thing that can keep this under is long time consuming drives with red zone Turnovers. Take the over in this one.