This is a 10* NON-CONF TOY on the UNDER Ball State/Vanderbilt.

Everyone in the Nation suddenly is a Vanderbilt fan after the Commodores beat Alabama in a huge upset.

Vandy then followed that victory up with another upset over Kentucky as a 14-point dog.

Vanderbilt only allowed 13 points to the Wildcats and I expect that defensive momentum to get carried over here. The Commodores are a huge favorite here, and typically I'll never play such large spreads.

But the total looks WAY off to me. WAY too high. Ball State is just 2-4 and while ALL SIX of its games have flown OVER the number this season, after just their second win of the year in last week's 37-35 victory at Kent. An imminent letdown appears imminent though.

Just can't see the Cardinals moving the ball effectively at all against this improved Vanderbilt side. Don't see the Commodores keeping the foot on the gas in the second half either.

While the majority of the public goes one way with this total, I'm going the other. The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP