6* MONEY-LINE play on Creighton.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

Note that Butler is just 1-4 ATS vs. the conference already this year and only 1-2 ATS after a loss vs. a conference rival.

And note that Creighton is 6-4 ATS in front of the home town crowd and 7-5 ATS after scoring 80 points or more.

The bottom line: These two teams are very evenly matched, but home court advantage can't be overlooked, we like CREIGHTON to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

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