PREMIUM
AAA's 10* BIG 12 *RED DRAGON!* (+$2,500 IN 2016!)
(NCAAB) Kansas vs. Iowa State,
Point Spread: 2.00 | -106.00 Kansas (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 2.00 | -106.00 Kansas (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Kansas.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation: Clearly both teams will be amped for this one, but we think that Kansas has more motivational factors working in its favor. A victory will move the Jayhawks into sole possession of the Big 12 lead, while the team will also be looking to avoid a third straight road loss
Revenge: Since taking 18 of 19 in the series, Kansas has lost three of the last four, including an 86-81 setback in its last trip to Ames on January 17th, 2015. And then Iowa State would rally from 17 down to secure its second straight Big 12 tournament title with a 70-66 victory over the Jayhawks on March 14th.
ATS statistics: Note that Kansas is already 2-1 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest and 7-5 ATS vs. teams with winning records, while Iowa State is just 3-4 ATS this season following a conference game.
The bottom line: We feel there are enough situational and strong trend based factors working in favor of the visitors to pull the trigger on this one; play on KANSAS.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation: Clearly both teams will be amped for this one, but we think that Kansas has more motivational factors working in its favor. A victory will move the Jayhawks into sole possession of the Big 12 lead, while the team will also be looking to avoid a third straight road loss
Revenge: Since taking 18 of 19 in the series, Kansas has lost three of the last four, including an 86-81 setback in its last trip to Ames on January 17th, 2015. And then Iowa State would rally from 17 down to secure its second straight Big 12 tournament title with a 70-66 victory over the Jayhawks on March 14th.
ATS statistics: Note that Kansas is already 2-1 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest and 7-5 ATS vs. teams with winning records, while Iowa State is just 3-4 ATS this season following a conference game.
The bottom line: We feel there are enough situational and strong trend based factors working in favor of the visitors to pull the trigger on this one; play on KANSAS.
AAA Sports
