PREMIUM
AAA's 10* Horizon League GAME OF THE YEAR (+$2,500 IN 2016!)
(NCAAB) Detroit vs. Wisc-Green Bay,
Point Spread: 5.50 | -103.00 Detroit (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 5.50 | -103.00 Detroit (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* Horizon League GAME OF THE YEAR on Detroit.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Desperation breeds motivation: Detroit comes into this one on a four-game losing streak after falling 83-80 at UW Milwaukee on Saturday. It's a bit of a surprise, as the Titans haven't lost four straight in two seasons, and note that the team actually ranks third in the league in scoring (83.7) and second in field-goal percentage (46.1 percent).
Sloppy defensive play from the Phoenix: Green Bay has alternated wins and losses and comes in off a 111-95 setback to Oakland, a season high in points allowed. It was also the fourth time this year that the Phoenix have allowed their opposition to reach the century mark. Green Bay is second in league scoring at 84.8, but is seventh defensively in giving up 79.9.
The revenge factor: The Titans have lost five straight in the series, including three straight at Green Bay.
ATS statistics: Note that Detroit is 5-3 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more and 2-1 ATS off a loss vs. a conference rival, while Green Bay is just 3-4 ATS vs. the conference and only 4-6 ATS after scoring 80 points or more.
The bottom line: While we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for DETROIT to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Desperation breeds motivation: Detroit comes into this one on a four-game losing streak after falling 83-80 at UW Milwaukee on Saturday. It's a bit of a surprise, as the Titans haven't lost four straight in two seasons, and note that the team actually ranks third in the league in scoring (83.7) and second in field-goal percentage (46.1 percent).
Sloppy defensive play from the Phoenix: Green Bay has alternated wins and losses and comes in off a 111-95 setback to Oakland, a season high in points allowed. It was also the fourth time this year that the Phoenix have allowed their opposition to reach the century mark. Green Bay is second in league scoring at 84.8, but is seventh defensively in giving up 79.9.
The revenge factor: The Titans have lost five straight in the series, including three straight at Green Bay.
ATS statistics: Note that Detroit is 5-3 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more and 2-1 ATS off a loss vs. a conference rival, while Green Bay is just 3-4 ATS vs. the conference and only 4-6 ATS after scoring 80 points or more.
The bottom line: While we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for DETROIT to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.
AAA Sports
