This is an 8* MONEY-LINE play on Indiana.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

Note that Indiana is 7-5 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records, 4-2 ATS off a win vs. a conference rival and 11-8 ATS when playing the role of favorite, while Wisconsin is just 5-7 ATS in front of the home town crowd and only 5-8 ATS vs. teams with winning records.

The bottom line: Obviously these two teams are very evenly matched, but the trends working in favor of INDIANA push it over the top in this matchup.

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