This is an 8* MONEY-LINE play on San Diego State.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

Note that San Diego State is already a perfect 3-0 ATS on the road this season, 4-2 ATS vs. the conference, 6-4 ATS vs. teams with winning records and 4-2 ATS vs. good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest, while Nevada is a poor 1-5 ATS in front of the home town crowd, only 3-4 ATS vs. the conference and just 1-2 ATS off a win vs. a conference rival.

The bottom line: Lay the price with confidence on SDSU on the MONEY-LINE.

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