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AAA Sports' FREE PLAY
(NBA) Cleveland vs. Detroit,
Point Spread: -3.50 | -110.00 Cleveland (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -3.50 | -110.00 Cleveland (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 1* Free Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivated LeBron: After taking heat that he was a "coach killer," The King has dominated in back-to-back victories, going 18 of 23 combined. Note that the Cavs have averaged 114.5 points and 52.9 percent shooting in that span.
Road warriors: Cleveland is tied for the best road record in the East at 14-9 and has limited its opposition to just 92.4 PPG in regulation away from friendly confines.
Revenge factor: Detroit beat Cleveland 104-99 on November 17th.
If history is any precedence: Then the visitors have to be loving their chances today, they're 1-4 SU their last five in Detroit.
The bottom line: Detroit didn't have to face Kyrie Irving in the first matchup and with a game tomorrow night at Toronto, it's not too hard to imagine the home side a bit distracted in this one. We think a revenge minded and hungry CAVALIERS team will pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivated LeBron: After taking heat that he was a "coach killer," The King has dominated in back-to-back victories, going 18 of 23 combined. Note that the Cavs have averaged 114.5 points and 52.9 percent shooting in that span.
Road warriors: Cleveland is tied for the best road record in the East at 14-9 and has limited its opposition to just 92.4 PPG in regulation away from friendly confines.
Revenge factor: Detroit beat Cleveland 104-99 on November 17th.
If history is any precedence: Then the visitors have to be loving their chances today, they're 1-4 SU their last five in Detroit.
The bottom line: Detroit didn't have to face Kyrie Irving in the first matchup and with a game tomorrow night at Toronto, it's not too hard to imagine the home side a bit distracted in this one. We think a revenge minded and hungry CAVALIERS team will pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.
AAA Sports
