AAA's 10* WEST-COAST EXPRESS (+$40K NBA RUN!)
(NBA) Houston vs. Oklahoma City,
Total: 222.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the UNDER between the Houston Rockets and the Oklahoma City Thunder.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

No love loss: Theses teams are very familiar with each other. James Harden and the Rockets have gotten the better of his former team in having won five straight in the series. These high-scoring rivals already played this year, Harden had 37 in the Rockets' 110-105 victory on November 2nd. This can still be a high-scoring affair and stay UNDER this sky-high total and that's exactly what we're counting on here.

ATS statistics: Note that Houston has already seen the total go UNDER the number in 11 of 17 this year when playing the role of underdog and in five of seven after playing to three or more consecutive OVERs, while OKC has seen the total dip below the posted number in 17 of 26 in front of he home town crowd and in nine of 16 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: When you think of these two team's, what's the first thing that comes to mind? For us, it's high-scoring explosive offenses. There's no question that these have been a couple of the higher-scoring clubs in the league the last few season's, but whenever these Western Conference foes have met, they've invariably played to the lower number, as seven of their last ten in the series have indeed gone UNDER the posted total. And of the last ten in the series, this is by far the highest number, with the next closest being 219. In our professional opinion, this number is indeed a tad high, play on the UNDER.

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