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(NBA) Golden State vs. Philadelphia,
Point Spread: 16.50 | 100.00 Philadelphia (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 16.50 | 100.00 Philadelphia (Home)
Result: Win
1* Free Play 76ers.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
For this particular selection, we're keeping it simple:
Letdown/look-ahead spot: The defending champs come into this one at 42-4 overall and having won five straight, including massive victories at Cleveland, at Chicago and then at home over the Pacers, Spurs and Mavericks. With a game in New York tomorrow night, it's obviously not too hard to imagine the Warriors coming into this one a bit complacent in facing the lowly 7-40 Philadelphia 76ers. And it almost also assuredly means that the Golden State starters are going to get some extra time off, so look for the home side to make a serious push in the second half.
Under the radar improvement: With a 4-17 home record, it's a little funny to say that the 76ers are actually looking like they're finally starting to play a little better, but with two wins in their last four games, that is in fact the case for Philadelphia (the 76ers are actually 6-4 ATS in their last ten games for bettors).
The bottom line: There definitely seem to be a lot of great situational factors working in favor of the home side in this particular matchup and when combined with what we feel to be an extremely healthy spread, we'll indeed recommend a second look at PHILADELPHIA tonight.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
For this particular selection, we're keeping it simple:
Letdown/look-ahead spot: The defending champs come into this one at 42-4 overall and having won five straight, including massive victories at Cleveland, at Chicago and then at home over the Pacers, Spurs and Mavericks. With a game in New York tomorrow night, it's obviously not too hard to imagine the Warriors coming into this one a bit complacent in facing the lowly 7-40 Philadelphia 76ers. And it almost also assuredly means that the Golden State starters are going to get some extra time off, so look for the home side to make a serious push in the second half.
Under the radar improvement: With a 4-17 home record, it's a little funny to say that the 76ers are actually looking like they're finally starting to play a little better, but with two wins in their last four games, that is in fact the case for Philadelphia (the 76ers are actually 6-4 ATS in their last ten games for bettors).
The bottom line: There definitely seem to be a lot of great situational factors working in favor of the home side in this particular matchup and when combined with what we feel to be an extremely healthy spread, we'll indeed recommend a second look at PHILADELPHIA tonight.
AAA Sports
