PREMIUM
AAA's 10* *Kentucky/Kansas* BLOCKBUSTER - 14-6 (70%) RUN!
(NCAAB) Kentucky vs. Kansas,
Point Spread: -5.00 | 103.00 Kansas (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -5.00 | 103.00 Kansas (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Kansas.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation levels: Both teams are 16-4, but Kentucky has won five of its last six, while Kansas has lost two of three. With their backs seemingly against the wall and after going 0-3 SU/ATS vs. the Wildcats in the last three in the series, we're giving a huge nod to the Jayhawks in the motivation department tonight.
ATS statistics: Note that Kentucky is 8-4 ATS in non-conference games this season and 2-3 ATS off a win vs. a league rival, while Kansas is 7-2 ATS in all non-conference games this year and 9-7 ATS when playing the role of favorite.
The bottom line: Kansas will be playing with desperation and with the "revenge" factor and combined with these extremely strong ATS trends, all signs do indeed point to the JAYHAWKS as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation levels: Both teams are 16-4, but Kentucky has won five of its last six, while Kansas has lost two of three. With their backs seemingly against the wall and after going 0-3 SU/ATS vs. the Wildcats in the last three in the series, we're giving a huge nod to the Jayhawks in the motivation department tonight.
ATS statistics: Note that Kentucky is 8-4 ATS in non-conference games this season and 2-3 ATS off a win vs. a league rival, while Kansas is 7-2 ATS in all non-conference games this year and 9-7 ATS when playing the role of favorite.
The bottom line: Kansas will be playing with desperation and with the "revenge" factor and combined with these extremely strong ATS trends, all signs do indeed point to the JAYHAWKS as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
