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(NBA) Chicago vs. LA Clippers,
Total: 204.00 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
Total: 204.00 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Chicago Bulls and the LA Clippers.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
No Griffin, no problem!: Blake Griffin has been out since late December with injury and will be out even longer after breaking his hand in an incident with a team trainer, but the Clippers haven't missed a beat, winning 14 of the last 17 since Christmas Day. A 56-25 bench advantage was the difference maker in their last one. LA is a very deep team. The Clippers will be especially motivated to push the pace of this one as they look to avenge a listless 83-80 setback in Chicago in December 10th.
Bulls eager to push the pace as well: Chicago has been unable to string wins together over the last three weeks, losing seven of its last 11, but a switch by putting E-Twaun Moore in place of Tony Snell at small forward has already paid dividends as the Bulls would open their seven-game road trip with a 114-91 rout of the Lakers in their last outing.
ATS statistics: Note that Chicago has seen the total go OVER the number in nine of 15 this year after a non-conference game and in 13 of 20 on the road this season, while LA has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of 12 after a win by ten points or more and in five of eight following a divisional contest.
The bottom line: The situation and the trends do indeed point to the OVER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
No Griffin, no problem!: Blake Griffin has been out since late December with injury and will be out even longer after breaking his hand in an incident with a team trainer, but the Clippers haven't missed a beat, winning 14 of the last 17 since Christmas Day. A 56-25 bench advantage was the difference maker in their last one. LA is a very deep team. The Clippers will be especially motivated to push the pace of this one as they look to avenge a listless 83-80 setback in Chicago in December 10th.
Bulls eager to push the pace as well: Chicago has been unable to string wins together over the last three weeks, losing seven of its last 11, but a switch by putting E-Twaun Moore in place of Tony Snell at small forward has already paid dividends as the Bulls would open their seven-game road trip with a 114-91 rout of the Lakers in their last outing.
ATS statistics: Note that Chicago has seen the total go OVER the number in nine of 15 this year after a non-conference game and in 13 of 20 on the road this season, while LA has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of 12 after a win by ten points or more and in five of eight following a divisional contest.
The bottom line: The situation and the trends do indeed point to the OVER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
