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(NBA) Boston vs. Orlando,
Point Spread: 4.50 | -105.00 Orlando (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 4.50 | -105.00 Orlando (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the Orlando Magic.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Immediate revenge factor: The Magic lost 113-94 in Boston on Friday.
Desperation levels: Orlando will surely be the hungrier team today, it's lost eight straight and 12 of its last 13: "We've got to figure something out. We've got to do it fast or it's just going to keep going south," guard Victor Oladipo said. "We've said it all. We've been saying it all the past couple of weeks, and we've just got to do it. There's nothing more we can say."
If history is any precedence: Then Orlando has to be loving its chances for a bounce-back performance, it's averaged 101.5 in four consecutive home wins over the Celtics while giving up 93.8.
ATS statistics: Note that Boston is already just 2-4 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Orlando is 4-2 ATS after playing three consecutive road games.
The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the MAGIC to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Immediate revenge factor: The Magic lost 113-94 in Boston on Friday.
Desperation levels: Orlando will surely be the hungrier team today, it's lost eight straight and 12 of its last 13: "We've got to figure something out. We've got to do it fast or it's just going to keep going south," guard Victor Oladipo said. "We've said it all. We've been saying it all the past couple of weeks, and we've just got to do it. There's nothing more we can say."
If history is any precedence: Then Orlando has to be loving its chances for a bounce-back performance, it's averaged 101.5 in four consecutive home wins over the Celtics while giving up 93.8.
ATS statistics: Note that Boston is already just 2-4 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Orlando is 4-2 ATS after playing three consecutive road games.
The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the MAGIC to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.
AAA Sports
