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(NBA) Phoenix vs. Dallas,
Total: 201.50 | 102.00 Under
Result: Loss
Total: 201.50 | 102.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Phoenix Suns and the Dallas Mavericks.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
Note that Phoenix has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four this year after scoring 85 points or less and in nine of 16 after three or more consecutive SU losses, while Dallas has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 15 of 22 at home and in 14 of 25 vs. clubs with losing records.
The bottom line: It's an important game for both teams, the Suns will be desperate to break their 12 game road slide, while the Mavs are looking to capitalize on this favorable matchup. Play on the OVER.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
Note that Phoenix has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four this year after scoring 85 points or less and in nine of 16 after three or more consecutive SU losses, while Dallas has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 15 of 22 at home and in 14 of 25 vs. clubs with losing records.
The bottom line: It's an important game for both teams, the Suns will be desperate to break their 12 game road slide, while the Mavs are looking to capitalize on this favorable matchup. Play on the OVER.
AAA Sports
