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(NBA) Atlanta vs. Miami,
Point Spread: 1.00 | -105.00 Atlanta (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 1.00 | -105.00 Atlanta (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Classic letdown spot: This is a battle for first spot in the division, but we think the Heat are lined up for a classic letdown today, they salvaged a five-game road trip by winning their final three, all by four points or less.
Desperate visiting side: While Miami comes into this one feeling a lot better about itself, the Hawks will be playing with desperation today as they've gone just 1-4 in their last five.
Revenge factor: Miami beat Atlanta 100-88 on December 14th.
ATS statistics: Note that the Hawks are already 2-1 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest and 21-15 ATS in their last 36 when trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while the Heat are 1-5 ATS after scoring 105 points or more this season and 0-4 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories.
The bottom line: The situation and the trends both point to the HAWKS as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Classic letdown spot: This is a battle for first spot in the division, but we think the Heat are lined up for a classic letdown today, they salvaged a five-game road trip by winning their final three, all by four points or less.
Desperate visiting side: While Miami comes into this one feeling a lot better about itself, the Hawks will be playing with desperation today as they've gone just 1-4 in their last five.
Revenge factor: Miami beat Atlanta 100-88 on December 14th.
ATS statistics: Note that the Hawks are already 2-1 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest and 21-15 ATS in their last 36 when trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while the Heat are 1-5 ATS after scoring 105 points or more this season and 0-4 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories.
The bottom line: The situation and the trends both point to the HAWKS as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
