PREMIUM
AAA's ONE & ONLY 10* ACC "G.O.M.!" (UNC/Louisville!)
(NCAAB) North Carolina vs. Louisville,
Point Spread: -1.00 | -110.00 Louisville (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -1.00 | -110.00 Louisville (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Louisville.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation: When it comes to good teams, we have always felt that losing breeds motivation, while winning will more often than not lead to complacency. The Tar Heels come to town riding a 12-game winning streak. The Cardinals have lost back-to-back games for the first time since early last season. So not only will Louisville be looking to snap out of its recent funk, but it will also be eager to avenge a 70-60 setback to the Tar Heels back on March 12th, 2015.
ATS statistics: Note that UNC is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with a winning SU record and 1-4 ATS in their last five following an ATS victory, while Louisville is 11-7 ATS in its last 18 after three or more straight ATS setbacks.
The bottom line: After a listless effort in their setback to Virginia at home, we expect the CARDINALS to take full advantage of the many factors working in their favor and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation: When it comes to good teams, we have always felt that losing breeds motivation, while winning will more often than not lead to complacency. The Tar Heels come to town riding a 12-game winning streak. The Cardinals have lost back-to-back games for the first time since early last season. So not only will Louisville be looking to snap out of its recent funk, but it will also be eager to avenge a 70-60 setback to the Tar Heels back on March 12th, 2015.
ATS statistics: Note that UNC is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with a winning SU record and 1-4 ATS in their last five following an ATS victory, while Louisville is 11-7 ATS in its last 18 after three or more straight ATS setbacks.
The bottom line: After a listless effort in their setback to Virginia at home, we expect the CARDINALS to take full advantage of the many factors working in their favor and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.
AAA Sports
