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AAA's 10* WEST-COAST EXPRESS (+$29,000 TOP PLAY 10* NBA RUN!)
(NBA) Washington vs. Oklahoma City,
Total: 221.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 221.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL EXPRESS on the UNDER between the Washington Wizards and the Oklahoma City Thunder.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge: The Wizards will be looking to shutdown the high-flying home side and avenge a 125-101 setback to the Thunder back on November 10th. Washington was outrebounded 53-41 in that one, while also allowing OKC to shoot 15 of 23 from behind the 3-point line. Washington has also lost six in a row at Oklahoma City. There's no way the Wizards can get into a track meet with the Thunder and expect to pull off the upset, we look for the visitors to try and slow this one down at every given opportunity.
Letdown/Look-ahead spot: OKC has been rolling no doubt, it's won nine of its last ten, but it's not too hard to imagine the team coming into this stretch a tiny bit complacent, after the Wizards the Thunder play the Magic, before then hitting the road for a date vs. Golden State next weekend.
ATS statistics: These two teams have been playing to some pretty high-scoring affairs of late (especially the Thunder), but note that this is in fact a spot in which both have shown a penchant to playing to the lower-number, as Washington has seen the total go UNDER in five of nine this season in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while OKC has seen the total dip below the posted number in 14 of 20 non-conference games and in five of six when playing with two days of rest.
The bottom line: The situation and trends both point to the UNDER as the sharp move in this contest.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge: The Wizards will be looking to shutdown the high-flying home side and avenge a 125-101 setback to the Thunder back on November 10th. Washington was outrebounded 53-41 in that one, while also allowing OKC to shoot 15 of 23 from behind the 3-point line. Washington has also lost six in a row at Oklahoma City. There's no way the Wizards can get into a track meet with the Thunder and expect to pull off the upset, we look for the visitors to try and slow this one down at every given opportunity.
Letdown/Look-ahead spot: OKC has been rolling no doubt, it's won nine of its last ten, but it's not too hard to imagine the team coming into this stretch a tiny bit complacent, after the Wizards the Thunder play the Magic, before then hitting the road for a date vs. Golden State next weekend.
ATS statistics: These two teams have been playing to some pretty high-scoring affairs of late (especially the Thunder), but note that this is in fact a spot in which both have shown a penchant to playing to the lower-number, as Washington has seen the total go UNDER in five of nine this season in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while OKC has seen the total dip below the posted number in 14 of 20 non-conference games and in five of six when playing with two days of rest.
The bottom line: The situation and trends both point to the UNDER as the sharp move in this contest.
AAA Sports
