PREMIUM
AAA's BIG-CHALK PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION - +$23,000 NHL RUN!
(NHL) Montreal vs. Philadelphia,
Point Spread: 1.50 | -259.00 Montreal (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 1.50 | -259.00 Montreal (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Montreal Canadiens.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Getting healthier: It's been a massive turn of events for the Canadiens, who were unstoppable to open the season, only to then go on a 5-18-1 slide, to leave the team at 24-22-1 at the break. The expected return of captain Max Pacioretty will be a huge boost as the Habs look to start to turn things around in the second half, he leads the team with 19 goals and is an important presence on the ice.
Revenge factor: Montreal fell 4-3 at Philadelphia on January 5th.
ATS statistics: Note that the Habs are 52-40 (+4.8 units) in their last 92 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Philadelphia is already just 2-3 (-1 unit) this season when playing with three or more days of rest.
The bottom line: With time off to prepare for this one and with a bunch of different situational and trend based factors working in their favor, we do indeed expect the CANADIENS to take this one down to the wire. But in a contest which we definitely expect to be decided late or in the extra periods, we have no problems at all in laying the larger price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Getting healthier: It's been a massive turn of events for the Canadiens, who were unstoppable to open the season, only to then go on a 5-18-1 slide, to leave the team at 24-22-1 at the break. The expected return of captain Max Pacioretty will be a huge boost as the Habs look to start to turn things around in the second half, he leads the team with 19 goals and is an important presence on the ice.
Revenge factor: Montreal fell 4-3 at Philadelphia on January 5th.
ATS statistics: Note that the Habs are 52-40 (+4.8 units) in their last 92 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Philadelphia is already just 2-3 (-1 unit) this season when playing with three or more days of rest.
The bottom line: With time off to prepare for this one and with a bunch of different situational and trend based factors working in their favor, we do indeed expect the CANADIENS to take this one down to the wire. But in a contest which we definitely expect to be decided late or in the extra periods, we have no problems at all in laying the larger price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance.
AAA Sports
