1* Free Play Hurricanes.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Slumping home side: Winnipeg is 1-4-0 during a six-game homestand and is 2-6-0 overall in 2016. Winnipeg has allowed an average of a whopping 3.11 GAA in nine games since January 10th. The Jets penalty kill is among the league's worst at 77.2 percent.

Surging into the break: Carolina had gone 7-2-1 to pull within a single point of the wild-card spot before the All-Star Break, but came out flat in a 4-1 loss to the Flames on Tuesday. Note that previous to that, the Hurricanes had killed off 23 of 24 penalties spanning nine games.

Scheduling: It's not too hard to imagine the Jets getting caught "looking ahead" to their three game road trip, which starts tomorrow night in Colorado.

Revenge: Carolina has lost seven of the last ten in the series, including both games last year.

The bottom line: Looks like a good spot to pull the trigger on a solid underdog play, consider a second look at the HURRICANES in this one.

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