PREMIUM
AAA's 10* IVY LEAGUE "ASSASSIN!" (SOLID 26-20 CBB RUN!)
(NCAAB) Dartmouth vs. Pennsylvania,
Point Spread: -1.00 | -107.00 Pennsylvania (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -1.00 | -107.00 Pennsylvania (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Pennsylvania.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Desperation breeds motivation: The Quakers are looking to end a four-game slide and to take advantage of a Big Green team which had won three in a row before back to back setbacks at the hands of Columbia and Cornell.
Moving in the right direction: Pennsylvania will desperately be trying to secure its first conference win, but it's come very close, surrounding a blowout loss to Yale, the Quakers would drop an OT game vs. Princeton on January 9th, while also falling at Brown 89-83 last weekend: "Against Brown, I think we did a lot of good things for long stretches," head coach Steve Donahue assessed. "We played solid offense. The guys are getting better, there's good growth, they're all in, they keep competing. Now we just gotta put it together for 40 minutes,. One thing that really hurt us was [our shooting] at the foul line."
ATS statistics: Note that Darmouth is just 1-5 ATS in its last six on the road and only 6-17-1 ATS in its last 24 games following a SU loss, while Pennsylvania is 5-2 ATS its last seven in front of the home town crowd and 6-2 ATS in its last eight at home vs. teams with losing road records.
The bottom line: Despite injuries, the QUAKERS are definitely knocking on the door for their first conference victory, note that Big Green has won just four games at the Palestra since 1959.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Desperation breeds motivation: The Quakers are looking to end a four-game slide and to take advantage of a Big Green team which had won three in a row before back to back setbacks at the hands of Columbia and Cornell.
Moving in the right direction: Pennsylvania will desperately be trying to secure its first conference win, but it's come very close, surrounding a blowout loss to Yale, the Quakers would drop an OT game vs. Princeton on January 9th, while also falling at Brown 89-83 last weekend: "Against Brown, I think we did a lot of good things for long stretches," head coach Steve Donahue assessed. "We played solid offense. The guys are getting better, there's good growth, they're all in, they keep competing. Now we just gotta put it together for 40 minutes,. One thing that really hurt us was [our shooting] at the foul line."
ATS statistics: Note that Darmouth is just 1-5 ATS in its last six on the road and only 6-17-1 ATS in its last 24 games following a SU loss, while Pennsylvania is 5-2 ATS its last seven in front of the home town crowd and 6-2 ATS in its last eight at home vs. teams with losing road records.
The bottom line: Despite injuries, the QUAKERS are definitely knocking on the door for their first conference victory, note that Big Green has won just four games at the Palestra since 1959.
AAA Sports
