PREMIUM
AAA's 10* *OKC/Golden State* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER - +$27K RUN w/ 10* NBA!
(NBA) Oklahoma City vs. Golden State,
Total: 233.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 233.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Golden State Warriors.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
The law of averages: While we feel that the law of averages is flawed in many ways, we still believe that lop-sided trends and numbers have a way of naturally "correcting" themselves over the short, mid and long-term. And that's what we're expecting here. Both teams have been playing to a lot of higher-scoring affairs of late (OKC has seen total go OVER in the seven of its last ten, including its last game, a 117-114 victory over Orlando on Wednesday, while Golden State has seen the total sail above the number in six of its last ten), including in the Thunder's 127-115 upset victory over the Warriors on January 16th, 2015.
Highest posted total in series ever: This is the largest line in recent history between the two teams, looking back to 2010 sees the next closest one sitting at 228. Golden State can shoot with the best of them, but it's also one of the elite defensive units in the NBA when it wants to be. We expect the home side to take this as a personal challenge in trying to disrupt and ultimately slow down this high-flying Thunder offense.
The bottom line: This can still be a high-scoring shootout and stay below this sky-high total and that's exactly what we expect to see, no need to overanalyze this one, in our professional opinion this total is indeed just a little bit high; play on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
The law of averages: While we feel that the law of averages is flawed in many ways, we still believe that lop-sided trends and numbers have a way of naturally "correcting" themselves over the short, mid and long-term. And that's what we're expecting here. Both teams have been playing to a lot of higher-scoring affairs of late (OKC has seen total go OVER in the seven of its last ten, including its last game, a 117-114 victory over Orlando on Wednesday, while Golden State has seen the total sail above the number in six of its last ten), including in the Thunder's 127-115 upset victory over the Warriors on January 16th, 2015.
Highest posted total in series ever: This is the largest line in recent history between the two teams, looking back to 2010 sees the next closest one sitting at 228. Golden State can shoot with the best of them, but it's also one of the elite defensive units in the NBA when it wants to be. We expect the home side to take this as a personal challenge in trying to disrupt and ultimately slow down this high-flying Thunder offense.
The bottom line: This can still be a high-scoring shootout and stay below this sky-high total and that's exactly what we expect to see, no need to overanalyze this one, in our professional opinion this total is indeed just a little bit high; play on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
