PREMIUM
AAA's 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK - +$29K 10* NBA RUN!
(NBA) Toronto vs. Detroit,
Total: 205.00 | -108.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 205.00 | -108.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER between the Toronto Raptors and the Detroit Pistons.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
A well oiled machine, BUT: Toronto is rolling, it's won 13 of its last 14 overall, most recently a 110-103 victory at Portland on Thursday. Despite the recent offensive surge, note that the Raptors have seen the total go UNDER the number in five of seven this year off an upset win as an underdog and in 14 of 15 on the road.
Focused home side: The Pistons trademark tough defensive play has been lost over a 2-4 stretch in which they've allowed a whopping 107.3 points: "For some reason, we're really struggling putting together 48 minutes of defense," Detroit's Anthony Tolliver assessed after Saturday's 112-104 loss at Indiana. "And it came back to bite us again." Detroit will be determined to play a lot tougher on the defensive end today as it also looks to avenge a loss to the Raptors just last week.
ATS statistics: Note that Toronto has also seen the total go UNDER the number in 11 of 19 this season after scoring 105 points or more, while Detroit has seen the total dip below the posted number in four of six as a home fav of three points or less.
The bottom line: The last thing the home side wants to do is to turn this into a track meet, look for a lot of half court sets while on offense and for this total to fall UNDER the posted number once the final horn blares.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
A well oiled machine, BUT: Toronto is rolling, it's won 13 of its last 14 overall, most recently a 110-103 victory at Portland on Thursday. Despite the recent offensive surge, note that the Raptors have seen the total go UNDER the number in five of seven this year off an upset win as an underdog and in 14 of 15 on the road.
Focused home side: The Pistons trademark tough defensive play has been lost over a 2-4 stretch in which they've allowed a whopping 107.3 points: "For some reason, we're really struggling putting together 48 minutes of defense," Detroit's Anthony Tolliver assessed after Saturday's 112-104 loss at Indiana. "And it came back to bite us again." Detroit will be determined to play a lot tougher on the defensive end today as it also looks to avenge a loss to the Raptors just last week.
ATS statistics: Note that Toronto has also seen the total go UNDER the number in 11 of 19 this season after scoring 105 points or more, while Detroit has seen the total dip below the posted number in four of six as a home fav of three points or less.
The bottom line: The last thing the home side wants to do is to turn this into a track meet, look for a lot of half court sets while on offense and for this total to fall UNDER the posted number once the final horn blares.
AAA Sports
