The Memphis Grizzlies have gotten into the habit of edging out close game lately, winning five of their last six with the games being decided by an average of only four points. They are still one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, and we should see a low scoring battle when they host the lowly Bucks tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Milwaukee's Perimeter Shooting - The Bucks are fourth worst in the league in three pointers made with only 5.4 per game. They're 14-for-42 from behind the arc in their last three games and that similar shooting tonight will be troubling as points won't come easy in the paint where the Grizzlies are extremely dominant.

2. Home Cookin' - The Grizzlies are 17-7 at home this season, and the under is 24-9 in Grizzlies last 33 home games versus a team with a losing road record.

3. X-Factor - The under is 8-1-1 in the last 10 meetings between the two teams.

Selection: This is a play on the Bucks@Grizzlies to go UNDER the total (Free)