*10* MASSACRE on Phoenix Suns.

The Miami Heat have won five of their last seven, despite the fact that leading scorer Chris Bosh remains out of the lineup with blood clots. The Heat are a big favorite at home tonight, hosting a Phoenix Suns team that is just 4-24 on the road. I think the spread for this game looks a little inflated, and my money is on the dog.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Heat have won 10 straight in this series, covering the spread in nine of those ten games. Seven of those 10 games saw the two teams combine for less than 210 points. Miami is asked to cover a larger spread tonight than in any of those previous meetings, but they may be content to lean on their defense, rather than look for a blowout.

2. Let Down Spot - After blowing out the Bulls at home on Tuesday, this looks like a let down spot against a bottom feeder from the Western Conference. It could be difficult for this banged up group to get up for tonight's game.

3. X-Factor - The Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

Selection: This is a play on the Phoenix Suns (10*)