1* free play on MIN@MIL to go UNDER the total...

The Milwaukee Bucks have lost three of their last four, and two of those losses came on their home floor. They come into tonight's game asked to cover a handful of points at home versus the Wolves. This young Minnesota team has been a dangerous underdog on the road all year long, and given Milwaukee's poor play on offense, we could see a close, low scoring game. My money is on the total to go under.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Bucks Offense - Milwaukee ranks 24th in the NBA averaging 99.1 points per game. They've failed to score 100 points in two of their last three home games, and they've failed to reach the total in five straight versus teams with a losing record.

2. Previous History - The under is 6-1-1 in Timberwolves last eight versus teams with a losing straight up record. The under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings between the two teams.

X-Factor - The Milwaukee Bucks are one of the worst teams in the NBA when it comes to perimeter shooting, averaging 5.5 made three-pointers per game. In fact the only team that averages less is Minnesota with 5.1 per game.

Selection: This is a play on the Wolves@Bucks to go UNDER the total (Free)