The Philadelphia Flyers have a 4-1-0 mark on their six-game homestand which they'll conclude by hosting the Tampa Bay Lightning Monday night. The Lightning are riding an amazing 10-game winning streak though and this looks like a reasonable price on the visitors.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Road Warriors - Tampa Bay is 18-12-1 on the road this season and is coming into this game looking for a seventh consecutive win away from home. It has outscored opponents 14-3 over the past four on the road.

2. Previous Meetings - The Lightning have won 14 of the past 18 and seven of the last eight against the Flyers. Strong defensive play is key for Tampa, as the Bolts rank 4th in the NHL allowing opponents to average just 2.3 goals per game. They should be able to contain a Philly offense that ranks 21st averaging just 2.5 goals per game.

3. X-Factor - Steven Stamkos has recorded 10 goals and four assists in his last 10 games against Philly.

Selection: This is a play on the Tampa Bay Lightning (10*)