The 38-25 Memphis Grizzlies and the Boston Celtics 38-26 Boston Celtics are coming into this contest with almost identical records. Both teams are coming off a match-up against the Cavs as the Grizzlies won 106-103 at Cleveland Monday while the Celtics had lost there 120-103 two days earlier. I think the Celtics will lose tonight's contest too.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Situational - Boston is 1-7-1 ATS in its last nine as a home favorite after a loss as a dog. The Grizzlies are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 against teams from the Eastern Conference.

2. Recent Meetings - The Grizzlies lost 95-92 in the most recent meeting at Boston last March but are 13-2 ATS in the last 15 match-ups at TD Garden. They defeated the Celtics 101-98 home in Memphis on Jan. 10 led by Zack Randolph who had 25 points and 13 rebounds to make it six wins in the past seven in the series.

3. X-Factor - Memphis' Tony Allen had missed eight games with a knee injury but scored a season-high 26 points in his comeback against Cleveland two days ago.

Selection: This is a play on the Memphis Grizzlies (10*)