The Orioles came into Seattle riding a seven game winning streak, but they've dropped the first two games of this series at Safeco. The Mariners will look to make it three straight tonight, but I don't like their chances with a struggling pitcher on the mound.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - James Paxton will go for the Mariners, and he's been struggling of late. The 27 year old southpaw has surrendered nine runs on 19 hits in back-to-back losses. The Orioles counter with Tyler Wilson, who tossed eight scoreless innings in a win over Boston in his last start on the road.

2. Home Cookin' - The Orioles are 5-1 in Wilson's last 6 road starts, and he's 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA on the road this season.

3. X-Factor - The Mariners have covered the run-line in only 15 of their 37 home games this season.

Selection: This is a play on the Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (8*)