The Los Angeles Angels tied this series at 1-1 with a 13-5 victory on Tuesday. The win was the Halos' mere third in 15 games, but I think they're looking good to record another upset against the Tampa Bay Rays tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Rays hand the ball to Drew Smyly (2-9, 5.33) who has surrendered four runs or more in six of his last eight starts. He's lost both of his last two outings while conceding a total of 14 runs (12 earned) on 16 hits and five walks in 11 2/3 innings. Smyly is s 0-2 with a 4.15 ERA in five career games against the Angels who counter with Jered Weaver (6-7, 5.51 ERA). The veteran has been hit hard most of the year, but his 4.74 ERA on the road is much better than his 6.18 mark home in L.A. and he held the Rays to two runs in six innings on May 7.

2. Home Woes - The Rays have a losing home record this season and they're 9-23 against the run-line as a favorite home at the Trop. They've lost five of Smyly's last seven home starts.

3. X-Factor - C.J. Cron was 2-for-4 with a homer last night. He's 11-for-24 (.458) with five home runs so far this month.

Selection: This is a play on the Los Angeles Angels +1.5 (8*)