The Pirates have split the first two games of this home series versus Philly, and I like Pittsburgh in the rubber match Sunday. This looks like it could be a pitcher's duel between a couple of young right-handers. My money is on the home team.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - Jameson Taillon will be on the hill for the Bucs, and he's coming off consecutive gems. The 24 year old gave up just one run on five hits over six innings in a 3-2 home win over the Brewers in his last outing. Before that he went six innings, allowing one run on six hits in an 8-1 win at Seattle. The Phillies counter with Vincent Valasquez who has been far better at home (1.50 ERA) than on the road (4.74 ERA).

2. Bullpens - The Pirates relief pitchers have done well, posting a respectable 3.66 ERA this season. The Phillies bullpen continues to struggle, ranking 22nd in the majors with a 4.37 ERA.

3. X-Factor - The Pirates have won 12 of their last 16 meetings with Philadelphia.

Selection: This is a play on the Pittsburgh Pirates (8*)