The Nationals blew a two run lead in the bottom of the ninth inning in Game 1 here in Cleveland, and they might have a tough time bouncing back in Game 2. Both teams will send aces to the mound this afternoon, but I think the home team will prevail.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - Stephen Strasburg will be on the mound for the visitors, and he's coming off his first loss of the season. Strasburg (13-1, 2.83 ERA) allowed six runs on seven hits over six innings in a home loss to the Dodgers. The Indians counter with Carlos Carrasco, who is 3-1 with a 1.61 ERA in his last four starts.

2. Batter vs. Pitcher - Strasburg hasn't fooled the Indians, who have hit .313 against him over 48 at bats. Rajai Davis is 2-for-2 lifetime, while Carlos Santana is 2-for-4 with an RBI versus the right-hander.

3. X-Factor - Bryce Harper is below the Mendoza Line in July, batting a woeful .187.

Selection: This is a play on the Cleveland Indians (10*)